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Larry Portfolio

Jan 11, 2007 – Nov 12, 2026, Rebalanced annually, IEI starts Jan 11, 2007

Larry PortfolioS&P 500
Final balance$23,218$76,341
CAGR+4.34%+10.79%
Max drawdown−16.71%−55.19%
Sharpe ratio0.790.62

Allocation

  • IJSUS small-cap value14%
  • DLSInternational small-cap10.5%
  • EEMEmerging markets3.5%
  • IEIIntermediate Treasuries72%

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Growth of $10,000

Key metrics

ReturnLarry PortfolioS&P 500
Final balance$23,218$76,341
Total return+132.18%+663.41%
CAGR+4.34%+10.79%
Calendar yearsLarry PortfolioS&P 500
Best year+10.70%+32.31%
Worst year−10.97%−36.80%
Positive years15 of 1815 of 18
RiskLarry PortfolioS&P 500
Max drawdown−16.71%−55.19%
Longest drawdown4 years4.9 years
Volatility (daily, annualized)5.55%19.55%
Risk-adjustedLarry PortfolioS&P 500
Sharpe ratio0.790.62
Sortino ratio1.140.88
Calmar ratio0.260.20

Annual returns

YearLarry PortfolioS&P 500
2017+7.11%+21.71%
2018−3.34%−4.57%
2019+10.45%+31.22%
2020+5.83%+18.33%
2021+3.55%+28.73%
2022−10.97%−18.18%
2023+7.17%+26.18%
2024+2.88%+24.89%
2025+10.70%+17.72%
2026 to Nov 12+2.63%+11.89%

Worst drawdowns

DeclinePeakBottomRecoveredLength
−16.7%Jun 2021Sep 2022Jun 20254 years
−12.3%Apr 2008Mar 2009Aug 20091.4 years
−9.1%Jan 2020Mar 2020Jun 20205 months
−5.6%Jan 2018Dec 2018Mar 20191.1 years
−4.8%Apr 2015Jan 2016Mar 201611 months

About the Larry Portfolio

Larry Swedroe and Kevin Grogan laid out the Larry Portfolio in their 2014 book Reducing the Risk of Black Swans. Only 28% is in stocks, mostly small-cap value in the US and abroad, with a little in emerging markets. The other 72% is in intermediate Treasuries.

Over long periods, small-cap value stocks have beaten the broad market. Swedroe's idea is that a small amount of them can do the work of more ordinary stocks. Since 2007, though, both small-cap value and emerging markets have trailed large US stocks. The book picks emerging markets value stocks, and EEM, a broad emerging markets fund, stands in for them.

Its worst fall took 4 years to recover, and it beat the S&P 500 in 4 of 18 full years.

Daily closes with dividends reinvested and fund fees included, before taxes and trading costs.