Skip to content

Golden Butterfly Portfolio

Nov 18, 2004 – Nov 12, 2026, Rebalanced annually, GLD starts Nov 18, 2004

Golden ButterflyS&P 500
Final balance$51,680$95,178
CAGR+7.76%+10.79%
Max drawdown−19.57%−55.19%
Sharpe ratio0.910.64

Allocation

  • VTIUS total stock market20%
  • VBRUS small-cap value20%
  • TLTLong-term Treasuries20%
  • SHYShort-term Treasuries20%
  • GLDGold20%

Loading the growth chart…

Growth of $10,000

Key metrics

ReturnGolden ButterflyS&P 500
Final balance$51,680$95,178
Total return+416.80%+851.78%
CAGR+7.76%+10.79%
Calendar yearsGolden ButterflyS&P 500
Best year+19.81%+32.31%
Worst year−12.96%−36.80%
Positive years17 of 2118 of 21
RiskGolden ButterflyS&P 500
Max drawdown−19.57%−55.19%
Longest drawdown2.4 years4.9 years
Volatility (daily, annualized)8.68%18.84%
Risk-adjustedGolden ButterflyS&P 500
Sharpe ratio0.910.64
Sortino ratio1.290.90
Calmar ratio0.400.20

Annual returns

YearGolden ButterflyS&P 500
2017+11.06%+21.71%
2018−3.92%−4.57%
2019+17.76%+31.22%
2020+14.59%+18.33%
2021+8.86%+28.73%
2022−12.96%−18.18%
2023+12.33%+26.18%
2024+11.75%+24.89%
2025+19.81%+17.72%
2026 to Nov 12+3.08%+11.89%

Worst drawdowns

DeclinePeakBottomRecoveredLength
−19.6%May 2008Mar 2009Sep 20091.3 years
−18.9%Nov 2021Oct 2022Mar 20242.4 years
−16.1%Feb 2020Mar 2020Jul 20205 months
−8.5%Jan 2018Dec 2018Feb 20191.1 years
−8.4%Jan 2015Jan 2016Apr 20161.2 years

About the Golden Butterfly Portfolio

The Golden Butterfly comes from the Portfolio Charts website. It's the Permanent Portfolio plus small-cap value stocks, which raises stocks from 25% to 40%.

The extra stocks add growth in good years. Bonds and gold still cushion the bad ones.

Its worst fall took 1.3 years to recover, and it beat the S&P 500 in 8 of 21 full years.

Daily closes with dividends reinvested and fund fees included, before taxes and trading costs.