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Merriman 4-Fund Portfolio

Jan 30, 2004 – Nov 12, 2026, Rebalanced annually, VTV, VB and VBR start Jan 30, 2004

Merriman 4-FundS&P 500
Final balance$87,948$101,020
CAGR+10.01%+10.68%
Max drawdown−58.70%−55.19%
Sharpe ratio0.580.64

Allocation

  • SPYS&P 50025%
  • VTVUS large-cap value25%
  • VBUS small-cap25%
  • VBRUS small-cap value25%

Loading the growth chart…

Growth of $10,000

Key metrics

ReturnMerriman 4-FundS&P 500
Final balance$87,948$101,020
Total return+779.48%+910.20%
CAGR+10.01%+10.68%
Calendar yearsMerriman 4-FundS&P 500
Best year+34.91%+32.31%
Worst year−35.26%−36.80%
Positive years15 of 2118 of 21
RiskMerriman 4-FundS&P 500
Max drawdown−58.70%−55.19%
Longest drawdown3.8 years4.9 years
Volatility (daily, annualized)19.93%18.63%
Risk-adjustedMerriman 4-FundS&P 500
Sharpe ratio0.580.64
Sortino ratio0.810.90
Calmar ratio0.170.19

Annual returns

YearMerriman 4-FundS&P 500
2017+16.73%+21.71%
2018−7.92%−4.57%
2019+26.75%+31.22%
2020+11.44%+18.33%
2021+25.23%+28.73%
2022−11.79%−18.18%
2023+17.43%+26.18%
2024+16.85%+24.89%
2025+12.74%+17.72%
2026 to Nov 12+16.39%+11.89%

Worst drawdowns

DeclinePeakBottomRecoveredLength
−58.7%Jul 2007Mar 2009Apr 20113.8 years
−39.1%Feb 2020Mar 2020Nov 20209 months
−24.0%Apr 2011Oct 2011Mar 201210 months
−21.2%Jan 2022Sep 2022Dec 20231.9 years
−21.0%Sep 2018Dec 2018Jul 201910 months

About the Merriman 4-Fund Portfolio

Paul Merriman's 4-Fund Combo splits the money equally between the S&P 500, large-cap value, small-cap and small-cap value stocks. It holds no bonds.

Merriman's foundation says the mix earned an average of 11.7% a year from 1928 through 2020, against 10.0% for the S&P 500. Small and value stocks earned more over that stretch. Over the years on this page they lagged, and the combo trailed the S&P 500.

Its worst fall took 3.8 years to recover, and it beat the S&P 500 in 9 of 21 full years.

Daily closes with dividends reinvested and fund fees included, before taxes and trading costs.