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Apr 10, 2007 – Oct 2, 2026, Rebalanced annually, BND sets the start date

Final balanceCAGRMax drawdownSharpe ratio
70/30$51,645+8.79%−39.74%0.69
60/40$45,070+8.04%−33.93%0.73

Growth of $10,000

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Key metrics

Return70/3060/40
Final balance$51,645$45,070
Total return+416.45%+350.70%
CAGR+8.79%+8.04%
Calendar years70/3060/40
Best year+24.12%+21.93%
Worst year−23.83%−19.45%
Positive years15 of 1815 of 18
Risk70/3060/40
Max drawdown−39.74%−33.93%
Longest drawdown3.2 years2.5 years
Volatility (annualized)13.51%11.60%
Risk-adjusted70/3060/40
Sharpe ratio0.690.73
Sortino ratio0.971.02
Calmar ratio0.220.24

Trailing returns

Period70/3060/4070/30 − 60/40
YTD+8.79%+7.16%+1.64%
1Y+10.48%+8.67%+1.81%
3Y+17.26%+15.42%+1.85%
5Y+8.67%+7.37%+1.29%
10Y+10.83%+9.48%+1.35%
15Y+11.32%+9.97%+1.35%

Rolling returns

Period70/30 median60/40 medianMore often ahead
1Y+11.72%+10.56%70/30 74%
3Y+9.99%+9.08%70/30 90%
5Y+9.93%+8.74%70/30 93%
10Y+9.86%+8.77%70/30 100%

Worst drawdowns

DeclinePeakBottomRecoveredLength
−39.7%Oct 2007Mar 2009Dec 20103.2 years
−25.1%Feb 2020Mar 2020Aug 20205 months
−22.5%Dec 2021Oct 2022Jan 20242.1 years
−14.2%Sep 2018Dec 2018Apr 20196 months
−13.4%Dec 2024Apr 2025Jun 20257 months

Annual returns

Year70/3060/4070/30 − 60/40
2017+16.05%+14.33%+1.72%
2018−3.63%−3.09%−0.54%
2019+24.12%+21.93%+2.18%
2020+17.07%+15.73%+1.34%
2021+17.42%+14.66%+2.75%
2022−17.60%−16.96%−0.64%
2023+19.93%+17.89%+2.04%
2024+17.08%+14.84%+2.24%
2025+14.09%+13.09%+1.00%
2026to Oct 2+8.79%+7.16%+1.64%

Holdings

70/30

  • VTIUS total stock market70%
  • BNDUS total bond market30%

60/40

  • VTIUS total stock market60%
  • BNDUS total bond market40%

About 70/30 vs 60/40

Both hold the same two funds, the total US stock market and the broad US bond market. The 70/30 has 10% more in stocks, so it tends to grow a little faster and to fall a little further in a crash.

The 70/30 returned 8.8% a year from Apr 2007 to Oct 2026, against 8.0% for the 60/40. Both fell furthest in 2007–2009, the 70/30 by 39.7% and the 60/40 by 33.9%. The 70/30 beat the 60/40 in 13 of 18 full years and in every rolling 10-year period.

Daily closes with dividends reinvested and fund fees included, before taxes and trading costs. Both rebalance once a year. The comparison starts on Apr 10, 2007, when BND's prices begin.